Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) runs for a touchdown against the Baltimore Ravens during the second half of an NFL football game in Orchard Park, N.Y., Sunday, Sept. 7, 2025. (AP Photo/Jeffrey T. Barnes)
Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) runs for a touchdown against the Baltimore Ravens during the second half of an NFL football game in Orchard Park, N.Y., Sunday, Sept. 7, 2025. (AP Photo/Jeffrey T. Barnes)

Week Three begins with a game that has the potential to get ugly. We have the 2-0 Buffalo Bills that will be hosting the 0-2 Miami Dolphins. This is a massive game for Miami, as 0-3 looks to be a hard hole to get out of.

Here are my bets for Thursday Night Football Week Three.

Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod for my full breakdowns and analysis. All odds are a mix/the best number from FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM.

Straights

Buffalo Bills -11.5 (-114)

The Dolphins truly seem to have some issues going on. This is a massive game for the Dolphins, as 0-3 could mean doom for their season. The issue is they are playing the Bills. Buffalo will be without Ed Oliver and Matt Milano, so that’s a bit scary. However, I think Josh Allen and the offense can do enough to win this game and cover. My only fear of the Dolphins covering is the fact that this is a division game.

Props

Josh Allen over 29.5 rush yards (-114)

Josh Allen has hit this over in both of the Bills games to start the season. With how shaky the Miami Dolphins defense has been, I look for Josh Allen to be able to do this again. 

Keon Coleman over 42.5 receiving yards (-114)

Coleman is leading the bills in receptions, and I expect him to be their number one receiver by the end of the year. I look for Coleman to get a bit more usage in this game compared to Week Two.

Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day

Week Three gives us a chance for the first hit of the year. We are going to go three player props and a touchdown scorer.

I was able to get odds of +903 boosted to +1355 with a 50% boost:

  • Josh Allen over 29.5 rush yards (-114)
  • Keon Coleman over 42.5 receiving yards (-114)
  • James Cook over 70+ rush yards (-104)
  • James Cook anytime touchdown (-175)

Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY

Jaden Chandler-Parnell, or “JC” is a Sports & Sports Betting Analyst for Stare Down Sports. You can Follow him on X @Jaden95Chandler and on YouTube

Betting Record

College Football straights record (regular season): 9-9

College Football player props record 

Bowl Season & CFP College Football: 

Pickem Record: 27-5

NFL bets (straights) [regular season] 8-4

NFL Bets (Touchdown scorers) [regular season]  6-3

NFL Bets (Player Props) [regular season] 14-6

$10 Nasty Boy Play (College) : 0-3 {down 3u}

$10 Nasty Boy Play (NFL) 0-7  {down 7u} 

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