If it is already time for College Football Week 11, then that means we have less than a month left of the regular season. Who will break through the bubble? Who will lose a chance at the College Football Playoffs? These next three weeks will be huge in deciding that.
Here are my plays for College Football in Week 11.
Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod for my full breakdowns and analysis. All odds are a mix/the best number from Fanatics, BetMGM, FanDuel, and DraftKings.
Straights
Friday
Houston -9.5 (-110)
I just believe that Houston is the better football team in this game against Colorado. I’m also starting to wonder if this Colorado team is dead in the water this season, especially after Arizona State played not so great last week and covered. Houston needs this win (and some style points) when it comes to trying to make the College Football Playoffs, so I will look for them to win this game by 10+ points.
Saturday
Wake Forest money line (-104)
This will be the Demon Deacons first real test since they have played the Hurricanes. Wake Forest was originally favored by 1.5 points until the line flipped in favor of SMU. Wake Forest is really good football team so I do believe they can win this game. My two fears for this game are one, that SMU may just outscore Wake Forest. The second is it would be the most ACC thing ever for SMU to win and ruin the chance for the ACC to get two bids into the College Football Playoffs. 
Indiana -8.5 (-110)
After the last couple of weeks and coming off a bye, this feels like a great opportunity and game for Indiana to win by 10+ points. I also am not trusting Lincoln Riley to travel across the United States to play Indiana in cold weather.
Jacksonville State -6.5 (-125)
I just believe that Jacksonville State is a much better team than Western Kentucky this season. Even being on the road, I believe they can win this game by around 10 to 14 points. The key for them will be coming out to a faster start than last week while also getting a key stop or two early on.
Notre Dame -29.5 (-110)
After that win against Miami, Notre Dame just has to handle business to make the College Football Playoffs. I look for them to win this game by about a score of 44 to 10. My only fear is the back door getting kicked in at the end of the game, and that is mainly because of this being a potential letdown spot after the Miami game.
West Virginia -2.5 (-125) & game total over 68.5 (-110)
I believe that West Virginia can outscore this Kansas offense (even with how horrible the WVU defense is) and be able to win this game. This next win would also give the Mountaineers bowl eligibility.
As for the game total over, it has hit in every game but one so far this season. With numbers like that (that would give it a record of 8–1), we might as well keep going back to the well.
North Dakota State -6.5 (-110)
My only fear with this game is traveling to the island for a late night battle. Past that, I also believe Bison are just a way better team this season. They also have been very good to us this season when it comes to covering.
Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day
For this week’s Nasty Boy, we are going a team total, two sides, and an under.
I was able to get odds of +1183 boosted to +1420 with a 20% boost:
- Oregon team total over 24.5 points (-104)
- Florida +3.5 (-120)
- West Virginia – Kansas over 68.5 (-110)
- Nevada -6.5 (-115)
Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY!
Jaden Chandler-Parnell, or “JC” is a Sports & Sports Betting Analyst for Stare Down Sports. You can Follow him on X @Jaden95Chandler and on YouTube
2026-2027 BETTING RECORDS
College Football straights record (regular season): 30-30-1
Pickem Record: 87-48-1
(straights) NFL Bets [regular season] 25-29
(Touchdown scorers) NFL Bets [regular season] 101-110
(Player Props) NFL Bets [regular season 48-39
$10 Nasty Boy Play (College) : 0-11
$10 Nasty Boy Play (NFL) 3-22 (up $391.50)
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