Saturday gave us some beautiful games. Now? The Sunday Divisional Round slate of games is up next, followed by the College Football National Championship Monday.
Here are my best bets for the NFLs Sunday Divisional Round.
Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod and Thursdays episode of Captain By A Hook for my full breakdowns and analysis. All odds are a mix/the best number from FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM.
Straights
Eagles -6.5 (-105)
With weather potentially being a factor, it makes me lean the Eagles even more. Along with that, it is very hard to fade Saquon Barkley after the games he is putting together. However, the Rams have been on a hot streak, with Stafford playing pretty well down that stretch. The Eagles defense has been really good down the stretch as well though, so I am betting on them to get enough stops to allow the Eagles to win by a 7-10 point range.
Ravens money line (-118)
This should be an amazing game. When it comes to this game, I was truly struggling to decide which team I wanted to take. In the end, I ended up going with Lamar Jackson, Derrick Henry, and the Ravens. While I do think the Bills and Josh Allen could truly win this game, I just can’t stop thinking about what Henry did to the Chargers. If the Bills want to win this game, they will have to shut down the run game. If they aren’t able to, I feel as if the Ravens might be able to run away with this one.
I will not be shocked if the Bills win, but I will be taking the Ravens.
Props
Saquon Barkley longest rush over 19.5 (-113)
Saquon Barkley is always one rush away from a big play. I love this number at anything under 20.
Derrick Henry longest rush over 20.5 (-120)
Similar to Barkley, Henry feels like he is always one run away from breaking away from the pack.
Demarcus Robinson over 1.5 receptions (-128)
I will admit, I am a tad nervous about this number. However, if the Rams fall down in the score, this over should be even easier to hit. Robinson has hit this over in 10 out of the 14 games he has played this season. Between all of the receivers in the Rams, this number feels not only good, but the best to hit in my opinion.
Kenneth Gainwell over 9.5 rush yards (-113)
I love how low this number is. With Kenneth Gainwell coming in to occasionally give Saquon Barkley a break at running back, he should have opportunities to hit this over. He usually gets the rush opportunities, it is just a matter of will he rush over 10+ yards.
Khalil Shakir over 50.5 receiving yards (-113)
Shakir is the only Bills receiver I personally trust with the receiving over. When it comes to the rest, it feels as if the ball goes to who has the hot hand. However, Shakir seems to be the go to target in most games for Josh Allen.
Derrick Henry over 7.5 receiving yards (-113)
This number just feels too low. I understand that Justice Hill usually is the one who comes in for the passing downs, but this is now the playoffs.  With how good and big he is, one check down or swing pass to Henry could easily lead to a 10+ yard pass play.
Lamar Jackson over 54.5 rush yards (-113)
Ever since Lamar, Jackson’s mom told him to rush more, Lamar has done just that. Now that it is the playoffs, I expect him to use his legs even more. Lamar has hit this over in 5 of the last 6 games as well.
Anytime touchdown scorers
Derrick Henry -210
Josh Allen +115
James Cook +105
Jalen Hurts -105
Saquon Barkley -155
Lamar Jackson +195
Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day
The Kansas City Chiefs game got a bit weird, so Samaje Perine was doomed to hurt us. With only four chances left to hit a Nasty Boy, we are going to end this year with at least one more win. I’m determined to!
I was able to get odds of +909 boosted to +1182:
- Saquon Barkley anytime touchdown (-155)
- Keneth Gainwell over 9.5 rush yards (-113)
- Derrick Henry over 7.5 receiving yards (-113)
- Lamar Jackson over 54.5 rush yards (-113)
Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY
Jaden Chandler-Parnell, or “JC” is a Sports & Sports Betting Analyst for Stare Down Sports. You can Follow him on X @Jaden95Chandler
Season Stats*
*These stats do not include the Saturday Divisional Round games*
College Football straights Record (regular season): 87-71-1
College Football player props record 28-24
Bowl Season & CFP College Football: 20-9
Pickem Record: 193-79
NFL Bets (straights) [regular season] 86-65-1
NFL Bets (Touchdown scorers) [regular season] 178-195
NFL Bets (Player Props) [regular season] 121-92
Nasty Boy Play (College) : 1-18 {down 40.95)
Nasty Boy Play (NFL) 6-43 {up 584.3}
NFL PLAYOFF (straights) 4-2
(Props) 10-7
(TD scorers) 6-8
Sunday Divisional Round
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