Week 15. We are just under a month away from the playoffs, and that is crazy to think about. We have a Saturday triple header, followed with more games on Sunday. Here are all of my plays for the Week 15 of NFL action.
Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod and Captain By A Hook for my full breakdowns. All odds are a mix/the best number from FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM.
Straights
Saturday Week 15 action
Bengals -3 (-110)
Even with losing Joe Burrow, the Bengals still have been somewhat impressive since his departure. Jake Browning is taking over as starting quarterback, and has put together a few good games in a row now. Coming into this game, I am going to ride Jake Browning and the Bengals. The Vikings have been struggling mightily. Josh Dobbs has been benched for Nick Mullins, and to be honest at this point I don’t know who is the better of those two QBs. I feel as if Jake Browning has been playing better than both of those two these last few weeks, so I look for him to have a good spot here. Joe Mixon is also two touchdowns away from my franchise record, so I look for him to be featured in this game.
Colts moneyline (-120)
The Steelers are coming into this game with Kenny Pickett still injured. That means Mitchell Trubisky will get the start. With Mitch Trubisky, I have not liked what I’ve seen from the Steelers offense. I feel as if if the Colts are able to get around 20 points, the Steelers offense won’t be able to do the same. As long as the Colts get 20+ points, I love for them to win this game. The Colts have not beat the Steelers since 2008, and I feel as if that will change today.
Broncos +4.5 (-110)
This Broncos team seems to be ascending, while the Detroit Lions have sort of been on the decline. They have really been struggling the last few games, while the Broncos have just been finding ways to win. The Broncos are now one game back of the division, and another truly of something to play for. Meanwhile the Lions are trying to hold onto a division lead of their own. This looks to be a really good game, so I will take the team that is getting points. I look for this to be a field-goal game, and I like for the Broncos to be able to cover.
Sunday Week 15 action
Bucs +3.5 (-115)
The Buccaneers are coming off a strong game, where they were just able to pull it out over the Falcons. A late minute drive would help them be able to seal the win. Meanwhile, on the other side, the Packers continue to be inconsistent as can be. Based on the last game, both of these teams played, I like what I’ve seen out of the Bucs more. I still am not sure what the Packers will be under Jordan Love until they get a bit more consistent. Due to this, I will be taking the Bucs to cover, and at least lose by a field goal. I can see the Bucs potential even winning this game, they just have to come out strong.
Cowboys moneyline (+114)
This could be game of the week in Week 15. The main reason I like this bet is because the Cowboys are plus money. The Cowboys have been really good these past few weeks, and they’re beginning to come into a great team. Both sides of the balls are playing extremely well, and Prescott seems to be an MVP candidate. Going into this game against the Bills, I’ll look for the Cowboys more of the same. I understand it is on the road, but there is still turf to be played on in Buffalo. I look for the Cowboys to be able to steal a game on the road in Buffalo, and continue their ascendancy towards the number one seed.
Ravens -3 (-120)
When it comes to this game, I just trust the Ravens more than I trust the Jaguars. The Jaguars seem to have games that either they play down to their opponent, or just not show up at all. Meanwhile, the Ravens have seemed to be one of the best teams in the AFC. They just continue to find ways to win, and Lamar Jackson is putting together a really strong season. I look for the Ravens to be able to win this game on the road, and continue their strong season. I look for the Ravens offense to be able to take advantage of a Jacksonville Jaguars defense that has been struggling the past few weeks.
Props
Joe Mixon anytime TD (-110)
Mixon is two touchdowns away from a franchise record. I thought he might be able to get two last week, so we would only have to get one this week. It did not happen, so now he will need two this week to get it done. I look for this to happen, and I look for Joe Mixon to find the end zone twice. I recommend betting the two times solo, and I also have it in my nasty boy. Due to this, I will just be giving out the single.
Raheem Mostert anytime TD (+110)
Raheem Moser is not only on an NBA jam, he is one touchdown away from the franchise rushing record. Due to this, I look for the Dolphins to find a way to get him in the end zone. Tyreek Hill potentially could be out, and that would make Mostert’s case to score even better.
CeeDee Lamb anytime TD (+100)
CeeDee Lamb is on an NBA jam. He has scored in four games in a row so far and has been dominant so far this season. I look for him to be able to do it again, as the Cowboys will probably need him to score in order to win the game. The Buffalo Bills defense has been proven to be shaky as well, so this could potentially be a great chance for CeeDee Lamb to find the end zone again.
Derrick Henry anytime TD (-140)
Derrick Henry is on an NBA Jam going into Week 15, as he has scored two touchdowns each in the last three games. Going to this game against the Texans, he has known for being a Texan destroyer. Some of Henry’s best games have come against the Texans so I look for him to be able to do it again. Very similar to how Joe Mixon was. I am taking him just to score once, as him score twice will be in my nasty boy.
Courtland Sutton anytime TD (+135)
Cortland Sutton has been a scoring machine this year. It seems like every game I turn on, I see this guy scoring yet another touchdown. Due to that, I will probably be taking him to score in every game to end the year. He scored every game except for three games THIS SEASON!!!!! Due to this I like my chances from the score especially, when it’s plus money.
Week 15 NBA Jams
- CeeDee Lamb anytime TD (5x in a row)
- Dolphins defense anytime TD (3x in a row)
- Raheem Mostert anytime TD (3x in a row)
- Derrick Henry 2x TD scorer (3x in a row)
- Rashee Rice 50+ receiving yards and 7+ receptions (both 3x in a row)
- Joe Mixon receiving over 30+ yards (4x in a row)
- Michael Pittman over 8+ receptions ( 8x in a row)
- Michael Pittman over 90+ receiving yards (3x in a row)
- Jahmyr Gibbs over 50+ rush yards (3x in a row)
- David Montgomery over 50+ rush yards (5x in a row)
- Courtland Sutton over 60+ receiving yards (4x in a row)
- Christian McCaffrey over 70+ rushing (4x in a row)
Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day
This is going to be a rare week where I have a double nasty boy. For Week 15 one nasty boy will be a MEGA nasty boy as I add a defensive score and two different 2x touchdown scores. As for the other nasty boy, it is a simpler one with 4 different guys to score. The MEGA NASTY BOY was odds of +39288 when I placed it Friday, but now is odds of +46932:
- Joe Mixon 2x TD (+500)
- Derrick Henry 2x TD (+480)
- Raheem Mostert anytime TD (+110)
- Dolphins defense/special teams touchdown (+650)
As for the other Week 15 nasty boy, I was able to get odds of +1484
- Mike Evans anytime TD (+120)
- Raheem Mostert anytime TD (+110)
- CeeDee Lamb anytime TD (+100)
- Derrick Henry anytime TD (-140)
Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY
College Football Record: 69-55
Pickem Record: 129-79
NFL bets (straights) 38-34-1
NFL Bets (Player Props) 30-32
Nasty Boy Play (College) 2-11
Nasty Boy Play (NFL) 5-27
Jaden Chandler-Parnell, or “JC” is a Sports & Sports Betting Insider for Stare Down Sports. You can Follow him on X @Jaden95Chandler
Follow Stare Down Sports on X for all of the latest news and updates @StareDownSports
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