Stare Down Sports

NFL Bets: Week 1

Yes, the smell of fresh grass, brand new cleats and pads. The roar of the fans, Sunday traffic jams around the stadium. The taste of nachos and beer, yes my friend, NFL football is back.

In the words Macmaine “Let’s start this bleep off right!”

Seven bets for week one.

First Bet: Chiefs and Mahomes

I have two bets on this game, one prop and one side that I like a lot. The number I have is now obsolete, on both.

I am sitting on a Chiefs -6.5 ticket, which you can now grab around -4.5-even 4 at some books. The news of Kelce’s injury does not scare me one bit, at the end of the day I am betting on three things.

Andy Reid in week one is an absolute monster, that beautiful Mahomes magic, and thirdly I flat out think the Lions stink. (Chiefs -6.5 -110)

Second Bet: Carr’s first Game in the Dome

The New Orleans Saints will host the Tennessee Titans this Sunday. It will be Derek Carr and Dennis Allen’s first game together since going 2-4,098 together with the Raiders.

I do not have an opinion on sides in this game, if I had to bet it, I would lean Titans. I think they are getting a lot of unwarranted hate this off season.

Anywho, the bet I like in this game is the over, it is set way too low in my opinion. Both of these teams have efficient offenses, and not to put too much pressure on the Carr-Allen duo, but they are supposed to have this offense rolling. I’ll believe it when I see it. (Titans/Saints O 41.5 -110)

Third Bet: Colts as Home Dogs

There are two things I am sure about going into this game, the Colts faithful will show up and show out, and Anthony Richardson is better than advertised.

The Jaguars are coming off of a successful season as far as Jacksonville is concerned, making the playoffs and even miraculously winning a game. I am not sure who will win this game, my hunch is telling me it will be a close one.

I almost jumped on the +4.5 floating out there earlier this week, yet I have decided to wait it out and pounce at +5.5 or +5, whichever is there come Sunday. (Colts +5 -110)

Fourth Bet: Bengals on the Money line

I know this is a little juiced, I have it at -125 and again at -134. Yes, Burrow has struggled against the Browns. I know over 90% of public money is on the Bengals. Also, I know Burrow missed the entire preseason and has started slow the last two years.

Well, hey I just talked myself into a Browns bet. I am kidding.

The Bengals defense will be the difference in this game to me. I have them forcing multiple turnovers and giving the offense short fields. (Bengals ML -134)

Fifth Bet: Eagles Week One

The fact that the Eagles are not favored by more tells me two things. One, Patriots will be better than people expect this year, and two, it is week one baby. The books are still testing the water and this game proves it.

I have this number at closer to 9 or 10 than under 5. So when I saw the Eagles at -3.5 earlier this week, I could not help but pounce on it.

Yes, I do think the Eagles will regress a little, still be an elite team. Yes, I do think the Patriots will be better, my guess somewhere between 8-10 wins. However week one, give me the Eagles to come out soaring. (Eagles -4 -110)

Sixth Bet: The New York Football Giants

The Giants will host the Cowboys week one on prime time television, Sunday Night Football. Giants at home at 3.5 point dogs against their division foe.

Two things I do not get, and it happens every, single, season. All of the love that the Cowboys get, all of the belief in Dak Prescott. This Cowboys team will be lucky to win 8 games if you ask me.

Give me the Giants at home, plus the points. (Giants +3.5 -110)

Seventh Bet: Monday Night Football

The Bills have garnered a lot of hype over the last 2 to 3 seasons and let’s be honest, they have not done one thing to deserve it.

Now it is the Jets turn to either live up to the expectations or crash and burn like the Bills in the playoffs. I have not placed this bet yet for three reasons, I am waiting for the + money on the Jets money line to get as big as it can. This game isn’t until Monday which as of right now could be next month for all I know. Also, lastly, Aaron Rodgers scares the life out of me on week one.

Still with all of that being said, I think Rodgers has an average game for him. My gut is telling me the Jets defense will wreck havoc on an overrated offense and be the game changer. Maybe I just hate the Bills, we will find out Monday. (Jets ML +118)

NFL Bets: Props Week 1

The only three props I absolutely love this week:

Patrick Mahomes O 15.5 Rushing Yards -122
Najee Harris Anytime Touchdown +125
David Montgomery Anything Touchdown +115

NFL Bets: Week 1 Recap

Chiefs -6.5 -110
Titans/Saints O 41.5 -110
Colts +5 -110
Bengals ML -134
Eagles -3.5 -110
Giants +3.5 -110
Jets ML +118

(Take all wagers at your own risk, Please gamble responsibly)
(Odds provided by FanDuel Sports Book)

Rowan Donaghey is a Sports and Betting insider for Stare Down Sports. You can follow him on twitter via @RowanDonaghey

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