We have an AFC North clash on Saturday to prep us for the final Sunday of the NFL regular season. For NFL Week 18 on Saturday, we have two games. The first game is Cleveland Browns traveling to Baltimore to take on the Ravens. Game two has the Pittsburgh Steelers defending home turf against the Cincinnati Bengals.
Here are my Plays for the NFL Week 18 Saturday games.
Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod and Captain By A Hook for my full breakdowns and analysis. All odds are a mix/the best number from FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM.
Straights
Ravens – Browns over 41.5 (-105)
I truly could see the Baltimore Ravens putting up about 30 to 34 points. The question then becomes can we at least get 10 to 14 points out of the Cleveland Browns. With Bailey Zappe starting for the Browns, I believe there’s a chance of the over hitting.
Bengals money line (-132)
To be honest, this is a hard game for me to decide. But, with how hot the Bengals have been and with their defense looking better, I ended up taking their side. The Steelers have had a rough four weeks and they truly need a get right game here. With playoff seeding on the line as well for the Steelers and the Bengals fighting for their playoff lives, this should be an excellent game.
My decision came down to Joe Burrow vs Russell Wilson. I trust in Burrow more, so we are taking Bengals.
Props
Rashod Bateman over 29.5 receiving yards (-113)
With the spread as big as this, I expect the Ravens to be sitting people at some point in the game. With only being able to sit so many people, Rashod Bateman might end up having to play more snaps. Even if not, Bateman is the big play threat, so 30+ yards could happen on one pass.
Joe Burrow over 9.5 rush yards (-113)
Last time the Bengals played the Steelers, Joe Burrow had two rushes for nine yards. I will be taking this over in the hopes that he at least has two or three rushes, which should help hit his over. 
Ja’Marr Chase over 91.5 receiving yards (-113)
With the Bengals season on the line, I expect the ball to be in Joe Burrow’s hands a good amount. Due to that, Ja’Marr Chase should be able to get a good amount of targets.
Bengals win first half – Steelers win game (+800)
This is gonna be my way of hedging the Bengals money line. The Bengals should come out hot because their season is on the line. If the Steelers happen to come out slow, they usually are good about picking it up and getting right in the second half.
Anytime touchdown scorers
Derrick Henry -270
Mark Andrews +160
Jerry Jeudy +480
Ja’Marr Chase -165
George Pickens +115
Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day
With two chances left to end the regular season with a bang, let’s see if we can cook up some magic. For Saturday, I’m taking two touchdown scorers and two props.
I was able to get odds of +857:
- Rashod Bateman 40+ receiving yards (+158)
- Derrick Henry anytime touchdown (-270)
- Ja’Marr Chase anytime touchdown (-165)
- Joe Burrow over 9.5 rush yards (-113)
Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY
Jaden Chandler-Parnell, or “JC” is a Sports & Sports Betting Analyst for Stare Down Sports. You can Follow him on X @Jaden95Chandler
Season Stats
College Football straights Record (regular season): 87-71-1
College Football player props record 25-22
Bowl Season & CFP College Football: 17-9
Pickem Record: 169-71
NFL bets (straights) [regular season] 83-62-1
NFL Bets (Touchdown scorers) [regular season] 171-184
NFL Bets (Player Props) [regular season] 120-90
Nasty Boy Play (College) : 1-17 {down 25.95)
Nasty Boy Play (NFL) 6-39 {up 623.3}
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