NFL Week 16 is upon us. The slate might not be the greatest this week (especially Sunday), but there could be some sneaky good game still.
Here are my plays for the NFL Week 16 slate.
Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod and Captain By A Hook for my full breakdowns and analysis. All odds are a mix/the best number from FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM.
Saturday
Chiefs -3 (-115)
With Mahomes playing, there is no question as to what side I am going to. With this being a Chiefs game, this most likely will be a close game throughout. I’ll look for the Chiefs to be able to win by a field goal.
Saturday props/touchdown scorers
Xavier Worthy over 3.5 receptions & over 39.5 recieving yards
DeAndre Hopkins over 3.5 receptions & over 37.5 receiving yards
Patrick Mahomes over 1.5 pass touchdowns
Lamar Jackson over 49.5 rush yards
Derrick Henry over 81.5 rush yards
Zay Flowers over 60.5 receiving yards
Derrick Henry anytime touchdown
Najee Harris anytime touchdown
Isiah Pacheco anytime touchdown
Joe Mixon anytime touchdown
Sunday
Straights
Vikings -3 (-102)
With the Vikings fighting for a one seed and with how good of football they have been playing lately I feel as if I trust them more than the Seahawks. The Seahawks have been playing decent football, but the records kind of tell the tales of these two teams. With Metcalf not being the same since his injury and the injury issues at running back for the Seahawks, I will be taking the Vikings to win by at least a field goal.
Lions -6.5 (-110)
With all the issues that the Bears are having right now, there’s just no way I can take them. Along with that, -6.5 points feels way too low. While the Bears might have moments, I like for the Lions to win this by 10+ points.
Bills -14 (-110)
I just feel as if the Bills should blow out the Patriots in this game. I wouldn’t be shocked as this game ended up being around a 38 to 13 type of score.
49ers money line (+100)
I love the odds that we are getting here for the 49ers. With how inconsistent the Dolphins are with good teams, I feel as if this number should be a bit higher. I also just don’t know what version of this Dolphins team will show up, so I will trust in Brock Purdy.
Jaguars money line (+106)
The Raiders have a chance to get the number one pick in the NFL Draft. Due to that and the fact that the Jaguars are plus money, we will be taking them on the money line.
Buccaneers -3.5 (-110)
After what the Buccaneers did against the Chargers last game, I’m expecting something similar against the Cowboys. While they may not put up 40 points, I do look for the Buccaneers score around 28 to 30 points. That should be more than enough to cover -3.5 over the Cowboys.
Props
Tim Patrick over 2.5 receptions (-125)
Tim Patrick has hit this number over in four of his last five. With the loss of David Montgomery for the meantime, I expect a few more touches for Patrick and Sam Laporta.
Davante Adams over 73.5 receiving yards (-113) & over 6.5 receptions (+108)
The Rodgers to Adams connection seems to be back on track. Due to that, I will be beating the hot streak.
Garrett Wilson over 60.5 receiving yards (-113)
Wilson also has had a really good season. I expect him to be involved heavily in the passing game as well as Davante Adams.
De’Von Achane over 5.5 receptions (+102)
Achane has hit over this number for three games in a row, putting him on a NBA Jam.
Mike Evans over 80.5 receiving yards (-113) & over 5.5 receptions (-132)
Evans is really close to not only 1000 receiving yards in the season, but also that and 18 receptions away from closing in on a three million dollar bonus. I expect Evans to recieving a lot of targets.
Anytime touchdown scorers
Jahmyr Gibbs (-300) & 2x (+185)
Mike Evans -110
Chase Brown -160
Ja’Marr Chase -155
James Conner -195
Chuba Hubbard -160S
Saquon Barkley -170
Jalen Hurts -160
Bijan Robinson -230
Anthony Richardson +105
Tony Pollard +135
Kyren Williams -160
George Kittle +150
Brian Thomas Jr +175
Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day
We were very close with our last few, which means we are on the right track.
I was able to get odds of +1325:
- Mike Evans anytime touchdown -110
- James Conner anytime touchdown -195
- Ja’Marr Chase anytime touchdown -155
- Sam Laporta anytime touchdown +200
Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY
Jaden Chandler-Parnell, or “JC” is a Sports & Sports Betting Analyst for Stare Down Sports. You can Follow him on X @Jaden95Chandler
Season Stats
College Football straights Record (regular season): 87-71-1
College Football player props record 21-16
Bowl Season & CFP College Football: 5-2
Pickem Record: 158-66
NFL bets (straights) [regular season] 73-55-1
NFL Bets (Touchdown scorers) [regular season] 145-151
NFL Bets (Player Props) [regular season] 100-75
Nasty Boy Play (College) : 1-15 {up 5.95)
Nasty Boy Play (NFL) 6-32 {up 728.3}
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