Back at it for NFL Sunday in Week Two of the season. After seeing one week of these teams on the field, I am curious to see what changes we will see from these teams as some of them try to avoid going 0-2, while others look to go 2-0 or even 1-1.
Here are my leans and bets for NFL Sunday Week Two.
Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod for my full breakdowns and analysis. All odds are a mix/the best number from Fanatics, BetMGM, FanDuel, and DraftKings.
Straights
Buccaneers -7 (-130)
With how bad the Cleveland Browns offense looked last week and Deshaun Watson still starting coming into this game, there’s just no way I will be betting on the Browns. This feels as if it will be one of the few last chances we get to bet against Deshaun Watson in his career, so I’ll be trying to take advantage of that. The Buccaneers had a legit shot to win the game last week against the Bengals that they just didn’t turn over the ball nonstop. If that offensive offensively can come into this game Sunday, then I expect the box to be able to win this game by 10+ points.
This will also be the second week in a row the Browns have to travel down to Florida and play in very hot weather. 
Ravens -8 (-110)
I will admit, I am a tad bit nervous of this bet. The Saints started out super slow last week, but they were able to get that offense rolling late. As for the Ravens, this offense might be a machine under new offensive coordinator Declan Doyle. As for the defense, Jesse Minter seems to be a great hire as a head coach and a defensive play caller. I would not be shocked at all the ravens win this game by 10+ points and think they will, but I will be a tad nervous about the back door potential because of Tyler Shough.
Bears -4.5 (-110)
While I am a bit nervous about how effective this Bears defense will be, it’s hard to deny that their offense is good enough to score 30 to 40 points a game. The Packers have issues closing out games, and I feel as if the Bears will not have that issue here. Knowing that they will be playing Carson wins for the whole game should help the Bears be able to form a game plan good enough to force him to give them a couple of turnovers. My only fear for this game is the fact that this is a divisional game so weird stuff can happen. Besides that, I like for the Bears to win this game by potentially 7 to 10 points.
Jaguars +3.5 (-128)
I will admit, it makes me a bit nervous to take the Jacksonville Jaguars on the road in Denver. With how bad Denver looked last week, you just know they are gonna come back with a vengeance in this game. The one thing that is keeping me on the Jaguars is that offense Liam Cohens run. The offense has been a machine dating back to last season, and I am still waiting to see the results from Davis Webb being the new offensive coordinator for the Broncos. 
do think the Denver defense will play better in this game than they did against the Chiefs, but I still like for the Jack to keep this at least a field goal.
Props
Mack Hollins over 35.5 yards (-120)
With no AJ Brown, I expect for Drake Maye to go to Mack Hollins in big spots. He should get about four receptions for 42-45 yards in this game based on my projections.
Derrick Henry over 90+ rush yards (-125)
Between it being early in the season and how dominate Henry was last week, it’s hard not to take his over in this game here. While the Saints may not have the worst defense in the league, their defense is still weak enough to get ran over by King Henry. 
Dallas Goedert over 35.5 receiving yards (-130)
Dallas Goedert is going to have a pretty big season this year with no AJ Brown on the Eagles. He is basically going to be the team second option behind Devonta Smith in the receiving game, and will be the third option in the offense overall between Smith and Saquon Barkley. If I can get this number under 40 yards all season long, you will probably be seeing it multiple times again in the future.
Colston Loveland over 50+ receiving yards (-120)
Colston had a goose egg in the stat sheet last week. I just expect there to be no way that happens again this week.
As for anytime touchdown scorers, I tried to pick 1 per team/game if I really liked it: Chuba Hubbard (-105), Bijan Robinson (-210), Mark Andrews (+125), Derrick Henry 2+ TDS (+210), Juwan Johnson (+360), Aaron Jones (-150), Colston Loveland (+170), David Montgomery (-140), Tucker Kraft (+200), Bucky Irving (-120), Ted Hurst (+360), Dallas Goedert (+185), Jalen Hurts (+165), Bhayshul Tuten (+165), Jonathan Taylor (-150), Kenneth Walker (-200), George Kittle (+210) & Javonte Williams (-175).
Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day
We are coming into Sunday hot off hitting our first Nasty Boy of the season. We will be going all touchdown scores here in this Nasty Boy, so let’s see if we can make it two in a row.
I was able to get odds of +1255 boosted to+1507 with a 20% boost:
- Mark Andrews anytime touchdown (+125)
- George Pickens (+145)
- David Montgomery anytime touchdown (-140)
- Christian McCaffrey anytime touchdown (-230)
Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY!
2026-2027 BETTING RECORDS
College Football straights record (regular season): 6-6
Pickem Record: 8-7
(straights) NFL Bets [regular season] 4-5
(Touchdown scorers) NFL Bets [regular season] 7-8
(Player Props) NFL Bets [regular season 8-4
$10 Nasty Boy Play (College) : 0-3
$10 Nasty Boy Play (NFL) 1-4 (up $134.07)
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