After a shocking but good Thursday Night Football game, we turn our eyes to the NFL Sunday Slate for Week Five.
Here are my bets for NFL Sunday Week Five.
Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod for my full breakdowns and analysis. All odds are a mix/the best number from FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM.
Straights
Texans moneyline (-125)
With all the injuries that the Ravens are dealing with, this is the game that the Texans have to win. If they do not win this game, the Texans season might be in for a long and rough one. Due to how badly they need this one, I will be taking the Texans to steal this on the road. While their offensive line may be truly horrible, they have their starting quarterback playing, while the Ravens do not.
Dolphins moneyline (-118)
Darren Waller being added to this offense has it made the Dolphins that much better. While losing Tyreek Hill truly does suck, Jaylen Waddle should have the opportunity to step up, and they should have some other receivers behind him. Facing the Panthers defense that has been given up a lot of yards and points to opponents, the Dolphins have a chance to put up points and be able to win this game. My only fear is the Panthers seem to play a lot better at home than they do on the road.
Lions -10.5 (-104)
When it comes to taking the Lions, I just have to take them and the spread (maybe even an alt line of like -21 or more). Until the Bengals can prove they can stay competitive in a game, there’s no reason to not fade them at every opportunity possible. They’ve gotten blown out two weeks in a row, and like said, I need them to prove to me that they can be competitive. The Lions are also a really good team, so they could truly just absolutely blow them out.
It’s just sad to see that the Bengals offensive line and lack of good player depth on defense is truly hurting what could have been a great team this season.
Props
Tyler Warren over 60.5 receiving yards (-114)
Tyler Warren has had about 70 receiving yards in every game but one game this year. With that being the case, I am gonna probably bet his over at any number that is 65.5 yards or below. Along with Jonathan Taylor and Michael Pittman, Tyler Warren is one of the major players in this offense.
Jonathan Taylor over 16.5 receiving yards (-114)
He has hit this over in every game but one game this year (he had 16 on the dot in the one game that this over missed). Taylor has been a major factor in the pass game, and I like this number and any number that is below 20.5 yards.
Kyler Murray over 29.5 rush yards (-114)
With all of the injuries to the running back position, I look for Kyler Murray’s leg to be even more of a factor in this offense. I like this number is below 30 rushing yards, as this feels like a nice sweet spot of a number. 
Cam Ward over 10.5 rush yards (-114)
Ward has hit this over in the last two games. With how poor the offensive line play has been for him so far, I won’t be shocked at all if he hits this over again.
Emeka Egbuka over 62.5 receiving yards (-114)
Ebuka has hit this over in the last two games. With some injuries on offense, and especially Mike Evans gone, I look for Ebuka to keep having these big games. If this number gets above 68.5 yards, I probably will just lay off. This is my least favorite bet that I’m giving out.
Geno Smith to throw and interception (-133)
Geno has thrown an interception in three out of the four games so far this season. While the Colts are dealing with some injuries at defensive back, I still think they have enough talented players to be able to get an interception. Until Geno stops being loose with the ball, this is a bet I may look at taking every week.
Darren Waller anytime touchdown (+300)
Tua getting Waller will be a massive help for him on the field and in the red zone. With how big and athletic of a target Darren Waller is, it gives Tua a red zone threat he has not had before in his career.
Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown (-140)
The sole reason I am taking this bet is because I have a gut feeling we might see a tush push this game. With how talented the Denver defense is, the red zone might become a fight for every yard. I do not like that. This number is at -140 though, so I will look to take a better number live.
Justin Fields anytime touchdown (+125)
With how talented of a runner Fields is, I like that this bet is plus money. The Cowboys defense has not been good to start the year, so there should be plenty of opportunities for Fields to score in this game
Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day
We should have hit on Thursday Night. We just missed by one leg, and that leg was 0.5 rush yards. What makes me really upset is had the 49ers lines been up for props (I posted the article and made the Nasty Boy Wednesday when they were hidden), all three props I would have chosen would have hit. I’m hungry for a hit, and it will be coming soon.
I was able to get odds of +2482:
- Kyler Murray over 29.5 rush yards (-114)
- Darren Waller anytime touchdown (+300)
- Jonathan Taylor over 16.5 receiving yards (-114)
- Amon-Ra St. Brown over 6.5 receptions (-120)
Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY
Jaden Chandler-Parnell, or “JC” is a Sports & Sports Betting Analyst for Stare Down Sports. You can Follow him on X @Jaden95Chandler and on YouTube
2025-2026 BETTING RECORDS
College Football straights record (regular season): 13-14-1
Pickem Record: 47-16-1
(straights) NFL Bets [regular season] 13-13
(Touchdown scorers) NFL Bets [regular season] 11-8
(Player Props) NFL Bets [regular season] 25-17
$10 Nasty Boy Play (College) : 0-5 {down 5u}
$10 Nasty Boy Play (NFL) 0-14 {down 14u}
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