The final Monday Night Football game of the season is a Wildcard Weekend game. After a beautiful Thursday to Sunday stretch of football, we end it all with one final game. Who will be the final team moving on, will it be the Houston Texans or the Pittsburgh Steelers?
Here are my plays for the NFL Wildcard Weekend.
Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod for my full breakdowns and analysis. All odds are a mix/the best number from FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM.
Straights
Texans vs Steelers
A streak will die tonight. The Steelers have won 23 straight Monday Night Football games, but also have lost six straight playoff games. The public also went 5-0 this weekend, and majority of bets are on the Texans tonight. Coming into the game before this weekend, I was originally all over the Texans -3 points. However, after a weekend of wild games where the underdogs covered in all but one game, I’m a bit more torn on which side I want to take. Both of these teams have had times where they struggle on offense, and both of these teams have some pretty good defenses. I like the Texans defense more than I do the Steelers, but I’m not too sure if I trust in the offensive line of the Texans. Getting DK Metcalf back will be a huge addition for the Steelers, and that should help their offense be just that more effect.
When it comes to my official bet for this game, I think I am going to take the Texans -3 on the spread. However, if you have followed along with the JCPod, then we have a very awesome way to hedge this. About four to five weeks ago, I gave out the Steelers to lose in the Wildcard Round at +310. Due to that, I will be taking Steelers moneyline tonight to hedge. If you didn’t get in on this bet with me, then I would just take the Texans
Official bet: Texans -3 (-105)
Props
Due to how good both of these defensives are and how much I respect them, I may be going a little light in the props department. To go along with that, I am not confident in either quarterback hyper targeting one single player (other than maybe Stroud to Nico Collins?), so this makes me not the biggest fan of some of the lines. My main point of attack will be the running back/tight end position for the Steelers and Texans, with a hint of sprinkle when it comes to Nico Collins and DK Metcalf.
– CJ Stroud over 12.5 rush yards (-112)
– Kenneth Gainwell over 4.5 receptions (-152)
– DK Metcalf over 4.5 receptions (+130)
– Aaron Rodgers over 0.5 rush yards (-126)
– Pat Freiermuth over 15.5 receiving yards (-104)
– Jayden Higgins longest reception over 16.5 yards (-112)
As for anytime touchdown scorers, there are four guys I am targeting: Nico Collins (+150), Kenneth Gainwell (+220), DK Metcalf (+230), & finally Dalton Schultz (+250). I also like Jaylen Warren (+220), but I chose Gainwell over him this week.
Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day
I was able to get odds of +892 boosted to +1160 with a 30% boost:
- Jonnu Smith over 12.5 receiving yards (-125)
- Jaylen Warren over 12.5 recieving yards (-112)
- Woody Marks over 1.5 receptions (-112)
- CJ Stroud over 10+ rush yards (-180)
Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY!
Jaden Chandler-Parnell, or “JC” is a Sports & Sports Betting Analyst for Stare Down Sports. You can Follow him on X @Jaden95Chandler and on YouTube
Betting Record
College Football straights record (regular season): 33-37-1
Pickem Record: 165-90-1
(straights) NFL Bets [regular season] 53-52
(Touchdown scorers) NFL Bets [regular season] 75-80
(Player Props) NFL Bets [regular season] 111-97
$10 Nasty Boy Play (College) : 0-18 {down 18u}
$10 Nasty Boy Play (NFL) 2-52 {down $232.68}
College Football Bowl Season & CFP: 18-6
NFL PLAYOFF (straights) 4-1
(Props) 9-6
(TD scorers) 6-7
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