After a very wild and comeback filled Sunday slate, we head to Monday Night Football. Monday Night Football Week Five could give us a real good one, as the Kansas City Chiefs head down to Jacksonville to take on the Jaguars.
Here are my plays for Monday Night Football Week Five.
Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod for my full breakdowns and analysis. All odds are a mix/the best number from FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM.
Straights
Chiefs -3 (-118)
I do not mind the -3.5 points, but I would much prefer to just take the key number. The Chiefs had a bounce back offensive performance last week against the Ravens. The Chiefs also seemed to use Patrick Mahomes under center more, as well as using a bit more play action. Using more of this might unlock something for their offense they have been missing.
While I do think, both of these teams are good teams, I feel as if the Chiefs are just a tier ahead of the Jaguars. The Jaguars could totally prove me wrong tonight, but I’m going to have to see them show me that they’ll do it. Plus, this game feels like it should be a bit more of a bigger spread, but the Jaguars winning has dropped it down some. If the Chiefs can protect the ball and limit the Jaguars takeaway chances, they should have a good chance of winning this game.
Props
Kareem Hunt over 27.5 rushing yards (-112)
Kareem Hunt has hit this over in two straight games now. While him and Pacheco may be splitting time (and we may even see a third back), Hunt is probably the most reliable back at this point. I look for him to get 8-10 carries that should allow him to hit this over.
Patrick Mahomes over 4.5 rush attempts (-122)
Mahomes has been scrambling a lot more in these big games. Instead of taking his yards, I am going to go the rush attempts. The attempts have been there in the last few games, but the yards have been up and down.
Travis Kelce anytime touchdown (+155)
Kelce has not scored since Week One. I look for the Chiefs to use Kelce a bit more in the redzone this week, allowing him the chance to score.
Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day
We will never put Kyler Murray in a Nasty boy again. He was four yards short of us hitting yesterday. After a heartbreaking loss yesterday, let’s try and bounce back here.
I was able to get odds of +957 boosted to +1244:
- Kareem Hunt over 27.5 rushing yards (-112)
- Travis Kelce over 4.5 receptions (+130)
- Brenton Strange over 3.5 receptions (-126)
- Patrick Mahomes over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-146)
Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY
Jaden Chandler-Parnell, or “JC” is a Sports & Sports Betting Analyst for Stare Down Sports. You can Follow him on X @Jaden95Chandler and on YouTube
Betting Record:
College Football straights record (regular season): 14-18-1
Pickem Record: 54-22-1
(straights) NFL Bets [regular season] 16-13
(Touchdown scorers) NFL Bets [regular season] 12-10
(Player Props) NFL Bets [regular season] 28-20
$10 Nasty Boy Play (College) : 0-6 {down 5u}
$10 Nasty Boy Play (NFL) 0-14 {down 14u}
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