Monday Night Football closes out Week 11 of the NFL. We will see the battle of Texas, as the Houston Texans travel to JerryWorld as they take on the Dallas Cowboys.
Here are my Plays for Monday Night Football Week 11.
Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod for my full breakdowns and analysis. All odds are a mix/the best number from FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM.
Straights
Texans -7 (-115)
After what I saw last week from the Dallas Cowboys, there is no way I am taking them here. With the return of Nico Collins as well, I just do not not see how the Dallas Cowboys will be able to keep up with this offense. I look for Joe Mixon to have a big day and run all over the Dallas Cowboys.
Props
Joe Mixon rush over 89.5 yards (-110)
The Cowboys have been getting gashed in the run game. Due to that, this could be a huge night for Joe Mixon.
CJ Stroud rush over 8.5 yards (-110)
With the pass rush of the Cowboys and how shaky the Houston Texans offensive line has been, this feels like a good night for Stroud to scramble. I look for him to rush three to four times, allowing him to hit this over.
Nico Collins over 74.5 receiving yards (-110) & over 5.5 receptions (+108)
With Nico’s return, I look for him to have a big game. Assuming there are not any limitations or issues, he should be the focal point of the offense. Joe Mixon and Nico Collins are the engines that keep this offense moving.
Rico Dowdle over 53.5 rush yards (-110)
With the announcement of Rico Dowdle as the full time running back, I expect him to get a similar work load to last week. He had 12 carries for 53 yards. I expect the Cowboys pass game to be better than last week’s game (which isn’t saying much), allowing Dowdle to get about 60 yards rushing.
Anytime Touchdown scorers
Nico Collins (+120)
Joe Mixon (-175) & Joe Mixon 2x (+340)
Rico Dowdle (+115) or CeeDee Lamb (+260)*
*CeeDee will be a live play for more. I have to see if the quarterback situation is even worth betting on for the Cowboys, especially after last week.
Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day
We need to get back on track after a bit of a slide. We are going to combine my plays from above, with one wildcard added, to try and make some magic.
I was able to get odds of +817:
- Rico Dowdle over 2.5 receptions (-138)
- Joe Mixon over 89.5 rush yards (-110)
- Joe Mixon anytime touchdown (-175)
- Nico Collins anytime touchdown (+120)
Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY
Season Stats
College Football straights Record (regular season): 66-57-1
College Football player props record 11-8
Pickem Record: 101-51
NFL bets (straights) [regular season] 53-40-1
NFL Bets (Touchdown scorers) [regular season] 91-94
NFL Bets (Player Props) [regular season] 58-45
Nasty Boy Play (College) : 0-12 {down 180)
Nasty Boy Play (NFL) 4-21 {up 479.60}
Jaden Chandler-Parnell, or “JC” is a Sports & Sports Betting Analyst for Stare Down Sports. You can Follow him on X @Jaden95Chandler
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