It is time for another Thursday Night Football game, this time being in Week Three. I hope everyone is a fan of the Atlanta Falcons, because we will be seeing a lot of them the next three weeks in prime time. For this week, they will be traveling up to Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers.
Here are my leans and bets for Thursday Night Football Week Three.
Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod for my full breakdowns and analysis. All odds are a mix/the best number from Fanatics, BetMGM, FanDuel, and DraftKings.
Straights
This may be one of the very few times I give out no side or total this season. I have no interest in betting on either of these teams based off how they have played so far this season. To go along with that, this will be the first start for Michael Penix on the Atlanta Falcons side. With this being his first action at all the season, I just don’t know what to expect from this headline offense. If I was to take anything in this game it would be potentially the under. However, this is just going to be a complete stay away from me.
Player Props
Christin Watson over 69.5 receiving yards (-114)
It’s to the point for me where I just don’t expect Green Bay to have a good running game until Josh Jacobs comes back. If that’s the case, they are going to have to rely on Jordan Love and Christian Watson a lot more. With his explosive play ability, I like for Christian Watson to be able to hit this over.
Bijan Robinson over 77.5 rush yards (-114)
With this being the first game back for Michael Penix, I expect for them to rely on Bijan a good amount in this game. The Atlanta Falcons offensive line is really good, so that will help give Robinson more opportunities to break a couple big runs.
Jonnu Smith over 7.5 receiving yards (-114)
If we can get Smith to get two receptions again this week, then I love for him to hit this over. He could easily do it with one, but two would make me feel better.
As for anytime touchdowns scorers, I like Bijan Robinson (-155) and Christian Watson (+155)
Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day
We were 14 rush yards from Cam Skattebo away from hitting yet another Nasty Boy this season. Let’s keep striking while the iron is hot.
I was able to get odds of +971 boosted to +1457 with a 50% boost:
- Jonnu Smith over 7.5 receiving yards (-114)
- Christin Watson over 69.5 receiving yards (-114)
- Bijan Robinson over 77.5 rush yards (-114)
- Kaleb Johnson 25+ rush yards (-220)
Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY!
Jaden Chandler-Parnell, or “JC” is a Sports & Sports Betting Analyst for Stare Down Sports. You can Follow him on X @Jaden95Chandler and on YouTube
2026-2027 BETTING RECORDS
College Football straights record (regular season): 9-9
Pickem Record: 19-13
(straights) NFL Bets [regular season] 6-9
(Touchdown scorers) NFL Bets [regular season] 17-23
(Player Props) NFL Bets [regular season 10-8
$10 Nasty Boy Play (College) : 0-4
$10 Nasty Boy Play (NFL) 1-5 (up $124.07)
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