It is now or never for some teams as the playoffs are now in sight for the NFL. Tonight, in Thursday Night Football Week 14, we have a NFC North clash. The Green Bay Packers come into Detroit to take on the Lions.
Here are my plays for Thursday Night Football Week 14.
Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod and Captain By A Hook for my full breakdowns and analysis. All odds are a mix/the best number from FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM.
Straights
Green Bay Packers Team Total over 23.5 points (-130)
With all the injuries that the Lions have on defense, I like for the chances of Green Bay to score around 24-27 points. I’m truly struggling with which side to pick in this game so I’m just going to go with a team total instead. This game should be a field goal game, and I could see this getting into the twenties for both sides.
Props
Tim Patrick over 23.5 receiving yards -110
He hit this number for us in one play during Thanksgiving. With two or three catches, I like our chances to hit this again.
Tucker Kraft over 35.5 receiving yards (-110) & over 3.5 receptions (-108)
With no Romeo Doubs in this game, I look for Dontayvion Wicks and Tucker Kraft to receive a few more targets.
Jahmyr Gibbs over 65.5 rush yards -110
Gibbs has hit this number over six of the last seven games (that one loss being 65 against Green Bay) and has hit this over four straight games.
David Montgomery over 2.5 receptions +145
Last time these two played, Montgomery had three receptions. This over has hit in five of the last seven, with three in a row being his current streak.
Anytime touchdown scorers
Jahmyr Gibbs -155
David Montgomery -150
Josh Jacobs -150
Jameson Williams +210
Tucker Kraft +220
Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day
Can we continue the hot streak? A win tonight could give us our third Nasty Boy hit in a row.
I was able to get odds of +1045:
- David Montgomery anytime touchdown (-150)
- Tucker Kraft over 3.5 receptions (-102)
- David Montgomery +2.5 receptions (+145)
- Jahmyr Gibbs over 60+ rush yards (-144)
Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY
Jaden Chandler-Parnell, or “JC” is a Sports & Sports Betting Analyst for Stare Down Sports. You can Follow him on X @Jaden95Chandler
Season Stats
College Football straights Record (regular season): 79-68-1
College Football player props record 11-8
Pickem Record: 135-60
NFL bets (straights) [regular season] 63-47-1
NFL Bets (Touchdown scorers) [regular season] 111-116
NFL Bets (Player Props) [regular season] 83-59
Nasty Boy Play (College) : 0-14 {down 210)
Nasty Boy Play (NFL) 6-26 {up 818.3}
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