Nov 9, 2025; Tampa, Florida, USA; New England Patriots running back Treveyon Henderson (32) runs for a touchdown past Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerback Josh Hayes (32) during the third quarter at Raymond James Stadium. Jonathan Dyer-Imagn Images
Nov 9, 2025; Tampa, Florida, USA; New England Patriots running back Treveyon Henderson (32) runs for a touchdown past Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerback Josh Hayes (32) during the third quarter at Raymond James Stadium. Jonathan Dyer-Imagn Images

Thursday Night Football in Week 11 of the NFL looks like it could be a blowout. The New York Jets are on the road and they travel to New England to take on the Patriots as 12.5 point dogs. 

Here are my plays for Thursday Night Football Week 10.

Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod for my full breakdowns and analysis. All odds are a mix/the best number from FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM.

Straights

If I had to pick something, I would take the Patriots at -12.5 points. However, there are two factors that are keeping me off this game. One factor is the fact that it is a Thursday night game, and that is a lot of points. The second is the fact that this is a divisional game. The Patriots should be able to win big, I just can’t get myself to pull the trigger and take it.

Props

Drake Maye over 24.5 rush yards (-114)

Maye has rushed seven or eight times the last four games. This number is a bit high for my liking I will admit. However, if we can get seven to eight rushes, then there is a good chance this could go over.

Breece Hall over 15.5 receiving yards (-114)

Garett Wilson is out for a couple weeks now, Hall is the best player the Jets have on offense. My only fear with this bet is the Justin Fields factor.

TreVeyon Henderson longest rush over 13.5 yards (-114)

With how explosive of a back Henderson is, this just feels a tad too low of a number.

Hunter Henry anytime touchdown (+140)

With how big the spread is, the Patriots might be scoring a lot of points Thursday night.  With Austin Hooper out, that leaves Henry to get majority of the tight end work.

Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day

For this Nasty Boy, we are going two touchdown scorers and two props.

I was able to get odds of +1215:

  • Drake Maye over 20+ rush yards (-188)
  • Hunter Henry anytime touchdown (+140)
  • Breece Hall over 15.5 receiving yards (-114)
  • TreVeyon Henderson anytime touchdown (-180)

Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY!

Jaden Chandler-Parnell, or “JC” is a Sports & Sports Betting Analyst for Stare Down Sports. You can Follow him on X @Jaden95Chandler and on YouTube 

Betting Record

College Football straights record (regular season): 25-29-1

Pickem Record: 103-45-1

(straights) NFL Bets [regular season] 31-27

(Touchdown scorers) NFL Bets [regular season]  29-26

(Player Props) NFL Bets [regular season] 62-48

$10 Nasty Boy Play (College) : 0-11 {down 11u}

$10 Nasty Boy Play (NFL) 0-27 {down 27u} 

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