We are officially a third of the way through the NFL season and that’s truly wild to think about. We are starting to see who some of the real contenders are, as well as the other teams that look like it just is not their year. Week Six of the NFL looks to continue the wild yet awesome ride we have been on so far.
Here are my plays for this week six of NFL action.
Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod and Captain By A Hook for my full breakdowns. All odds are a mix/the best number from FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM.
Straights
Colts +2.5 (-105)
I have to go with my favorite team here. Playing against the Titans, this line is moved from the Colts -2.5 now 2.5 dogs. I know the Colt are dealing with a lot of injuries, but I trust their quarterback play with either Anthony Richardson or Joe Flacco more than I trust Will Levis. I look for Shane Steichen to be able to scheme up enough for the colts to get a much needed win in Nashville.
Bears +1.5 (-115)
When it comes to London in game, I’m gonna ride with the better defense. I do not like what I’ve seen all the Jacksonville Jaguars at all this year, and I honestly thought they were really close to letting the Colts back in to steal it last week. I will look for the Bears offense to be able to put up some points, allowing the defense to be able to pin its ears back and rush the passer. I see the Bears being able to win this by about three to seven points, and think this will be a fun close battle to the end (or a boring game where the Bears win with a field goal late lmao).
Texans -6.5 (-115)
I will admit this number does scare me a bit. I have no idea how Drake Maye will play, so that part does puzzle me. However, I’m gonna trust in the Texas defense as well as CJ Stroud. The Texans have more talent overall than the Patriots, so I pray it will be able to lead them to a touchdown victory on the road. Regardless of the win loss, there should be a fun look at what the Patriots future could potentially look like.
Steelers -3 (-112)
The Steelers are coming off a very tough loss last week where they basically gave away the game on the final drive. Coming into this game, I look for the defense to be able to have a bounce back performance. Aiden, O’Connell or Gardner Minshew are not as good as Dak Prescott. The Raiders are also one of the five worst teams in the league in my opinion, and I look for the Steelers to take advantage to get a big win here.
The Steelers are coming off two losses. I don’t think they will make that three in a row.
Detroit -3 (-115)
When it comes to this game, I just don’t know how the Cowboys defense will be able to keep up with this Lions offense. The Cowboys defense is dealing with so many injuries that it’s actually starting to become an issue. Their defense was already kind of sketchy before in the run game. Now, I expect all these injuries to make it even worse. I like for the Lions to take control with the pass and play action game, leading to them controlling the rock and winning this game on the ground with ease towards the end.
Falcons -6 (-110)
I understand this is a division game, but I still will be fading the Panthers. I still see the Panthers as one of if not the worst team in the NFL, so I will look to fade them at every chance I get, especially with good numbers. There’s no reason the Falcons should not win this game by 10 or more, unless they play with their food.
I will look for the Falcons to get up early and run away with it. The longer the Panthers stay in this game, the more I’m scared of this number not covering.
Chargers – Broncos over 35.5 (-115)
When it comes to this game, I have a final total being around the score of 20 to 17 or 21 to 20 range. Due to that, I’m gonna be taking over in this game.
I feel as if the total is a bit low.
Props
Caleb Williams over 1.5 pass touchdowns (+118)
I look for the Bears be able to score about 28 points in London, giving them about four touchdowns. The question is? Will it be two rushing or two passing? OR, three rushing one passing?
If it’s the first one I look for Caleb a Williams to be able to hit this over, which is at a good number.
Jared Goff over 1.5 pass touchdown (-114)
I look for the Lions be able to score in the 30s in this game, giving them a lot of touchdown opportunities. While they will get some on the ground, I look for Jared Goff to be able to get about two to three passing touchdowns himself. 
Lamar Jackson over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-125)
The Commanders defense is not the best still, even though the Commanders as a team are really good. I look for Lamar Jackson and the Ravens to be able to score a lot of points, giving him the chance to be able to throw for two touchdowns. 
Anytime Touchdown Scorers
Hear all of the guys I like to reach the end zone this weekend in their games:
Josh Jacobs (-145)
James Conner (+100)
Derrick Henry (-290) & 2x (+170)
Lamar Jackson (+150)
JK Dobbins (+125)
Roschon Johnson (+250)
Jayden Daniels (+155)
Jalen Hurts (+125) or Saquon Barkley (-175)
AJ Brown (+180)
Tank Dell (+200) or Stefon Diggs (+165)
David Montgomery (-155)
Jahmyr Gibbs (-115)
Chase Brown (+130)
Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day
We have been all over the Nasty Boys, and should be up so much more than we are. However, we still are having a great success rate and look to keep it rolling.
I was able to get odds of
- David Montgomery anytime touchdown (-155)
- Jahmyr Gibbs over 50 rush yards (-170)
- AJ Brown anytime touchdown (+180)
- Derrick Henry anytime touchdown (-290)
Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY
Season Stats
College Football straights Record (regular season): 35-26-1
College Football player props record 7-6
College Football Bowl Season:
Pickem Record: 45-33
NFL bets (straights) [regular season] 21-23-1
NFL Bets (Touchdown scorers) [regular season] 43-45
NFL Bets (Player Props) [regular season] 14-11
Nasty Boy Play (College) : 0-5 {down 75)
Nasty Boy Play (NFL)2-10 {up 283.95}
Jaden Chandler-Parnell, or “JC” is a Sports & Sports Betting Analyst for Stare Down Sports. You can Follow him on X @Jaden95Chandler
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