Happy Thanksgiving! With a full day of football and eating ahead, NFL Week 13 gives us some important games on Thanksgiving. We get a banger of a triple header to celebrate the holiday.
Here are my plays for Thursday Thanksgiving Football Week 13.
Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod for my full breakdowns and analysis. All odds are a mix/the best number from FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM.
Straights
Lions -2.5 (-120)
I like for the Lions to pull out a close win over the Packers.  While I won’t be totally shocked If the Packers are able to win, I just trust for the Lions to be able to pull this game out. Coming off a tough game defensively, I look for that Lions defense to bounce back and help boost this Lions offense. If the Packers don’t stop Jahmy Gibbs and Amon Ra St. Brown, it could be a long day for the green and gold.
Chiefs -3 (-125)
I like for the Chiefs to get a tough road win against the Dallas Cowboys. The Dallas Cowboys are coming off a huge win, but so are the Kansas City Chiefs. With both of these teams desperately needing a win to keep their playoff hopes alive, we should get the best showing of both of these teams. After what Patrick Mahomes did last week to the Colts, I just don’t see how he doesn’t find a way to keep the Chiefs in their winning ways. With how good the Cowboys offense is, there is a chance this could end up being a 30-27 type of game. 
Props
Amon-Ra St. Brown over 7+ receptions (-154)
He has hit this over in a good amount of games this year, and often he gets a lot of targets very consistently. While the odds are kind of bad, I will take this solo if it gets around the -140 range.
Jahmyr Gibbs over 69.5 rush yards (-114)
Coming off one of the best games of his career, I look for Gibbs to keep that momentum going. With how explosive he is, he has one big play waiting to happen speed. I am a bit nervous of the Packers defense, but Gibbs is just so good. 
Kareem Hunt over 34.5 rush yards (-114)
My only fear of Hunt not hitting this over is if they load manage him this week. With Isaiah Pacheco coming back and Hunt coming off of a 30 carries game, I won’t be totally shocked if the Chiefs limit his carries this week.
Travis Kelce over 57.5 rec yards (-114)
Without being Thanksgiving, it’s hard to not see Travis Kelce having a big game. To go along with that, Rashee Rice is dealing with a hamstring injuries, so he may not be 100% going into this game. 
Joe Burrow over 4.5 rush yards (-108)
With this being his first game back, it’s very hard to not see him rushing for at least a six to ten yard scramble. With the type of competitor Burrow is, it’s hard to not see him want to prove he is healthy.
As for the touchdown scorers on Thursday, I like: Amon-Ra St. Brown anytime (+100), Kareem Hunt anytime (+125), and Travis Kelce anytime (+120). One dark horse I like is Patrick Mahomes (+430)
Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day
For this Thanksgiving Nasty Boy, we are going all props and one touchdown scorer.
I was able to get odds of +1238 boosted to +1857 with a 50% boost:
- Kareem Hunt anytime touchdown (+125)
- Amon-Ra St. Brown over 7+ receptions (-154)
- Travis Kelce over 57.5 rec yards (-114)
- Joe Burrow over 4.5 rush yards (-108)
Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY!
Jaden Chandler-Parnell, or “JC” is a Sports & Sports Betting Analyst for Stare Down Sports. You can Follow him on X @Jaden95Chandler and on YouTube
Betting Record
College Football straights record (regular season): 28-33-1
Pickem Record: 113-50-1
(straights) NFL Bets [regular season] 36-32
(Touchdown scorers) NFL Bets [regular season] 37-35
(Player Props) NFL Bets [regular season] 71-58
$10 Nasty Boy Play (College) : 0-13 {down 13u}
$10 Nasty Boy Play (NFL) 0-33 {down 33u}
NFL Week 13 Thanksgiving Day NFL Week 13 Thanksgiving Day NFL Week 13 Thanksgiving Day NFL Week 13 Thanksgiving Day
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