Nov 16, 2025; Jacksonville, Florida, USA; Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Parker Washington (11) reacts after drawing a pass interference penalty against the Los Angeles Chargers during the first quarter at EverBank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Morgan Tencza-Imagn Images | Morgan Tencza-Imagn Images
Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Parker Washington (11) reacts after drawing a pass interference penalty against the Los Angeles Chargers during the first quarter at EverBank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Morgan Tencza-Imagn Images

It is time for yet another NFL Sunday, with this being Week Four. Week Four begins the overseas games, so we will have football from sun up to sun day. It looks to be a beautiful Sunday in the NFL.

Here are my plays for the Sunday NFL Week Four Slate.

Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod for my full breakdowns and analysis. All odds are a mix/the best number from Fanatics, BetMGM, FanDuel, and DraftKings.

Straights

Colts -3.5 (-115)

I like for the Colts to keep the winning streak going and get another win overseas against the Commanders. There will be no Jayden Daniels again this week, so I look for the Colts to stop Marcus Mariota enough to win this game by about seven or eight points.

Jaguars +3.5 (-120)

With how big of a win the Jaguars are coming off of, I am a little bit nervous about them playing the Broncos in this game. However, that is also kind of the same reason I do want to take them. The Jaguars seem to be humming to start off this early season so I will be taking them to keep this game within a field goal.

Bears -3 (-110)

I just trust in Ben Johnson to be able to run this offense with any quarterback. After what the Bears did on Monday night to the Philadelphia Eagles, I think that they should be able to win this game by four to seven points against the Jets as long as the defense can get a couple stops.

Player Props

Jonathan Taylor rushing over 90+ yards (-120)

After getting held down a bit last week against the Texans, I look for Jonathan Taylor to bounce back this week against the Washington Commanders. 

Zay flowers over 70+ reviving yards (-120)

Being the number one receiving option in this offense and with them playing a Tennessee Titans team that has been struggling as of late, I like for him to hit this over. 

Kyren Williams over 14.5 receiving yards (-110)

The Eagles have been getting beat up pretty bad in the run game recently. I expect for their defense to focus a lot more on that this week, allowing a chance for Kyren Williams to hit this over in the receiving game.

Parker Washington over 70+ receiving yards (-140)

I’m sad. This number is finally hit into the 70s, but I still like for him to hit this over. Parker has emerged as the main receiver in this offense so I look for him to get 7 to 8 targets in this game. 

Dj Moore over 49.5 recieving yards (-115)

I like how low this number is especially with Christian Gonzalez being out for this game. I like for Dj Moore to get around six receptions for 60 to 65 yards in this game.

As for anytime touchdown scorers, I like: (Jonathan Taylor (-275), Parker Washington (+140), Tyler Warren (+165), Stefon Diggs (+190), Zay Flowers (+140), Derrick Henry (-210), Josh Allen (-125), Kyle Monangi (+210), Garrett Wilson (+140), Jake Ferguson (+340), Cam Skattebo (-135), Jeremiyah Love (-130), Puka Nacua (+140), Jalen Hurts (+180), Kenneth Walker (-145), Brock bowers (+185), Emanuel Wilson (+150), Jaxson Smith-Njigba (-125), and finally Amon Ra St-Brown (-135).

Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day

It’s a Sunday, so that means all anytime touchdown scorers for this Nasty Boy.

I was able to get odds of +2383 boosted to +3099 with a 30% boost:

  • Emanuel Wilson (+150) anytime touchdown scorer
  • Derrick Henry (-210) anytime touchdown scorer
  • Kenneth Walker (-145) anytime touchdown scorer
  • Puka Nacua (+140) anytime touchdown scorer

Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY!

Jaden Chandler-Parnell, or “JC” is a Sports & Sports Betting Analyst for Stare Down Sports. You can Follow him on X @Jaden95Chandler and on YouTube

2026-2027 BETTING RECORDS

College Football straights record (regular season): 14-10

Pickem Record: 27-20

(straights) NFL Bets [regular season] 9-12

(Touchdown scorers) NFL Bets [regular season]  28-30

(Player Props) NFL Bets [regular season 15-13

$10 Nasty Boy Play (College) : 0-5

$10 Nasty Boy Play (NFL) 1-8 (up $94.07)

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