Sep 28, 2025; Houston, Texas, USA; Houston Texans running back Woody Marks (27) runs with the ball during the fourth quarter against the Tennessee Titans at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-Imagn Images | Troy Taormina-Imagn Images
Sep 28, 2025; Houston, Texas, USA; Houston Texans running back Woody Marks (27) runs with the ball during the fourth quarter against the Tennessee Titans at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-Imagn Images | Troy Taormina-Imagn Images

NFL Sunday in Week 15 gives us our first clinching scenarios of the season for a couple of teams. We only have four total weeks of games left counting this week, so we will slowly see the playoff picture evolve and be set.

Here are my plays for NFL Sunday Week 15.

Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod for my full breakdowns and analysis. All odds are a mix/the best number from FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM.

Straights

Patriots moneyline (+100)

This is probably the bet that I am most nervous about giving out this week. The Bills will be fighting for their division lives, as a loss here will give the division to the Patriots. However, the Patriots are coming off a bye, and this could be their moment to claim the division title.

Packers moneyline (-134)

This should be a really fun game to watch, as both the Packers and the Denver Broncos are two really good teams. I like for the Packers to be able to pull off to win here, as I just think I trust in Jordan Love a bit more than I trust Bo Nix.

Texans -9.5 (-110)

The Cardinals will be without both starting tackles against the one defense in the NFL. If the Texans offense can get to 24 points, then I will be super confident in them covering this game.

Colts +14 (-120)

This line just feels a bit disrespectful, as a Colts can definitely keep this game within 14 points. It will all just come down to the defense get enough stops, as I believe the Colts offense will be able to score about 17 to 20 points at minimum.

Props

Nico Collins receiving over 74.5 yards (-112)

With how bad the Cardinals defense was at guarding Puka Nacua, I can see something similar happening with Nico Collins. I expect Nico Collins to have a big game against the Cardinals

Woody Marks rushing over 77.5 yards (-112)

Similar to Nico Collins, I like for Woody Marks to have a big day against the Cardinals as well. The Cardinals are not very good in the rushing game, and there’s a good chance that Nick Chub will not be playing, which gives Woody marks a good chance to have a lot of carries and work in this game.

Travis Etienne rushing over 74.5 yards (-112)

With how bad of a defense the Jets have been lately, I like for Etienne to have a big game against them. Brady Cook starting also, and there’s a chance that the Jaguars could be playing with the lead. If that’s the case, that will allow Etienne to get even more work.

Drake Maye over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-130)

I’ll look for the Patriots score about 24 points at the minimum in this game, which should give Drake Maye enough chances to throw for 1.5 passing touchdowns. The only fear I have is that they might run the ball a bit more if they get into the goal line or a redzone situation.

As for anytime touchdown scorers, I like: Christian Watson (+210), Davante Adams (-185), Woody Marks (-135), Nico Collins (+100), Saquon Barkley (-105) and Travis Etienne (-170)

Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day

I was able to get odds of +815 boosted to +1019 with a 20% boost:

  • Travis Etienne (-170) anytime touchdown
  • Woody Marks (-135) anytime touchdown
  • Davante Adams (-185) anytime touchdown
  • Kareem Hunt (+115) anytime touchdown

Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY!

Jaden Chandler-Parnell, or “JC” is a Sports & Sports Betting Analyst for Stare Down Sports. You can Follow him on X @Jaden95Chandler and on YouTube 

Betting Record

College Football straights record (regular season): 32-37-1

Pickem Record: 141-66-1

(straights) NFL Bets [regular season] 38-37

(Touchdown scorers) NFL Bets [regular season]  50-53

(Player Props) NFL Bets [regular season] 80-71

$10 Nasty Boy Play (College) : 0-16 {down 16u}

$10 Nasty Boy Play (NFL) 0-39 {down 39u} 

Leave a Reply

Trending

Discover more from Stare Down Sports

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading