Sunday of the NFL in Week 10 is upon us, and we have an early morning game for the second to last time this season. With action happening all day long, it’s sure to be a fun day of games.
Here are my plays for Thursday Night Football Week 10.
Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod for my full breakdowns and analysis. All odds are a mix/the best number from FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM.
Straights
Colts -6.5 (-105)
I look for the Colts to be able to bounce back in Germany. This is sort of a home game for the Colts, as the Colts actually have a pretty decent sized following in Germany. I look for them to fix their mistakes from last week and get a big win going into the bye. The addition of Sauce Gardner should be even more helpful for a Colts defense trying to stop Bijan Robinson and Drake London.
Cleveland Browns money line (-130)
I am taking the Cleveland Browns here mainly for the fact that I think their defense will be able to shut down the Jets. I’m not sure how many points the Browns will score themselves, but they should be able to outscore the New York Jets as long as the defense shows up. After all of the trades, I’m not too sure what to think of the Jets going down the stretch.
Panthers -5.5 (-105)
With the Panthers being at home, I like for them to win this game by at least a touchdown. With how good on the ground Rico Dowdle has been, I’ll look for him to have a big game against the Saints. If the Panthers are able to establish the run, they should be able to control this game and win it by about 7 to 10 points. I’m still not sure of what to make of the Saints offense and their quarterback change.
Bills -9.5 (-105)
I like for the Bills to win this game by about 10-14. I think they will be able to establish a run and be able to run all over Miami, allowing for them to pull away as the game goes on. 
Steelers +3
Coming off a great win against the Colts, I look for the Steelers to carry over that momentum into this game. My biggest reason for taking the Steelers is the fact that the Chargers are dealing with injuries to both of their tackles on offense. The Steelers defense had a great showing against the coast last week, and they may have discovered something that they can carry forward into the rest of the games this season. The Steelers are dealing with some injuries themselves and Justin Herbert is talented enough to make me nervous about this bet still. This should be a fun NFL Sunday Night Game. 
Props
Rico Dowdle over 89.5 rush yards (-114) & over 100+ rush yards (+132)
It seems like Rico Dowdle is healthy and good to go, so I expect for him to have a big game against the Saints. He has just been a machine on the ground this season, and a game against the Saints could give him an opportunity to put up another big total.
James cook over 85.5 rush yards (-114) & over 100+ rush yards (+154)
Miami has shown they are willing to give up a bunch of rush yards on the ground this season. James Cook could have a huge game if he gets featured a good amount. He was on the injury report during this week, so I am a bit nervous the Bills might split up the carries a bit in this game. If they do not split the carries, James Cook should easily be able to get over 100 yards with how talented he is.
Tyler Warren over 4.5 receptions (+118)
I look for  Tyler Warren to get a bit more involved in this game against the Falcons. I like that we can get him at over 4.5 receptions at plus money. My projections have Warren for around five to six receptions.
Chris Rodriguez over 28.5 rush yards (-114)
Rodriguez has started to get featured a bit more in the offense as the rushing game has been struggling for the Commanders. if you get similar workload to last week, this number is way too low.
Rashid Shaheed over 38.5 receiving yards (-114)
With Shaheed being traded to the Seahawks this week, I’ll look for them to have a couple plays to get him involved. With how explosive of a playmaker he is, he could easily hit this over.
Davante Adams anytime touchdown (-135)
When the Rams get into the red zone, they like to throw the ball to Adams. It seems to be a theme that’s gonna be happening a lot this year, so I’m going to continue to jump on the train before the odds get juiced too high.
Rico Dowdle anytime touchdown (-150) & 2x touchdown (+550)
Dowdle with 20+ carries could have a big day against the Saints. 
Josh Allen anytime touchdown (-140)
I like for Josh Allen to get a rushing touchdown against the Miami Dolphins. I also think that this could be a game where James Cook potentially gets 2+ touchdowns.
Dalton Kincaid anytime touchdown (+220)
The Bills could score a lot of points in this game, which should allow Dalton Kincaid to get a couple targets in the red zone.
Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day
We are going all touchdown scorers to try and take a big chunk out of the deficit.
I was able to get odds of +2347:
- Davante Adams anytime touchdown (-135)
- Rico Dowdle 2x touchdowns (+450)*
- Derrick Henry anytime touchdown (-145)
- James Cook anytime touchdown (-195)
*Rico to score 2x tds is +550 on BetMGM but is +450
Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY!
Jaden Chandler-Parnell, or “JC” is a Sports & Sports Betting Analyst for Stare Down Sports. You can Follow him on X @Jaden95Chandler and on YouTube
Betting Record
College Football straights record (regular season): 23-27-1
Pickem Record: 86-35-1
(straights) NFL Bets [regular season] 30-22
(Touchdown scorers) NFL Bets [regular season] 26-23
(Player Props) NFL Bets [regular season] 60-39
$10 Nasty Boy Play (College) : 0-10 {down 10u}
$10 Nasty Boy Play (NFL) 0-25 {down 25u}
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