Buffalo Bills running back James Cook (4) against the Kansas City Chiefs during the AFC Championship game..Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images
Buffalo Bills running back James Cook (4) against the Kansas City Chiefs during the AFC Championship game..Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

We have a double header of games tonight, and both could end up being good watches. Monday Night Football Week Six is two parts tonight. The first is the Buffalo Bills traveling to Atlanta to take on the Falcons. For the second, the Chicago Bears travel to Washington for a NFC clash against the Commanders.

Here are my bets for Monday Night Football Week Six.

Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod for my full breakdowns and analysis. All odds are a mix/the best number from FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM.

Straights

Bills-Falcons over 49.5 points (-118)

I like for the Bills to win, but two things are keeping me off the spread. One is their defense, as I am a bit worried about how many stops they will get so the hook bothers me. Two is the Falcons at home. For whatever reason, the Falcons at home play so much better than they do on the road.

Due to all of these factors, I just am going to take the over, as I like for both teams to score in the 20’s point wise. I am curious to see if the Bills can bounce back after two tough games, or if the Falcons will pickup a win after the bye.

As for the second game, I want to take the Commanders -5.5 points at home. However, I just am going to stay away, as I am not 100% confident in that spread.

Props

Josh Allen over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-128)

Josh Allen has hit this over in three games in a row, putting him on a NBA Jam. I look for this trend to continue, as the Bills will probably need at least 24-28 points to win this game.

James Cook over 14.5 receiving yards (-114) & anytime touchdown (-145)

Cook had a pretty quiet game last week, and I look for that to change around this week. When James Cook is doing good, the Bills offense is good. I love for him to find the endzone on Monday Night, but I also do like for him to get a little work in the receiving game.

Drake London over 7+ receptions (+104)

With the issues the Bills have had on defense, London has a chance to have a big game tonight. This is by far my least favorite bet I’m giving out, but I like the chances of him hitting 7+ receptions.

Zach Ertz over 29.5 receiving yards (-114) & anytime touchdown (+210)

After having a goose egg in the box score last week, I look for the Commanders to get Ertz way more involved this week. To go along with that, the Commanders are dealing with some injuries, which open up more opportunities.

Caleb Williams over 5.5 rush attempts (+102)

This is a perfect number by the books. This is my second least favorite bet I’m giving out, but I like getting the plus money. Due to that, I’ll get a bit greedy and bite. Williams has rushed for 6-5-5-8 attempts his last four games, so this hook may come into play tonight.

Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day

For tonight’s play, I am going to touchdown scorers and two props. 

I was able to get odds of :

  • Zach Ertz anytime touchdown (+210)
  • Josh Allen over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-128)
  • James Cook anytime touchdown (-145)
  • Like McCaffrey over 25.5 receiving yards (-112)

Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY

Jaden Chandler-Parnell, or “JC” is a Sports & Sports Betting Analyst for Stare Down Sports. You can Follow him on X @Jaden95Chandler and on YouTube 

Betting Record

College Football straights record (regular season): 17-19-1

Pickem Record: 65-25-1

(straights) NFL Bets [regular season] 21-15

(Touchdown scorers) NFL Bets [regular season]  17-12

(Player Props) NFL Bets [regular season] 32-24

$10 Nasty Boy Play (College) : 0-7 {down 5u}

$10 Nasty Boy Play (NFL) 0-17 {down 17u} 

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