WOW! What a weekend of the men’s league we got on Sunday. Now we head into Monday Night Football of Week Four. Tonight, we have a double header with four teams that desperately are trying to get wins on the board.
Here are my plays for Monday Night Football Week Four.
Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod for my full breakdowns and analysis. All odds are a mix/the best number from FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM.
Straights
For the first game, if I had to pick, I would pick the Dolphins. After a rough weekend for us, I just don’t trust either side enough to bet them. Each team desperately needs a win, so we could see some of the best of both teams in this divisional battle. Like said if I had to pick, I would pick the Dolphins.
Broncos -7.5 (-112)
As for the second game, I think I will pull the trigger and take the Broncos -7.5 points. This Broncos defense at home should be able to give Jake Browning enough issues to allow them to cover the spread and win by at least 10. To go along with that, there is a chance the Bengals defense could give up some big yards and points to the Bo Nix led Broncos offense. While the Bengals may score some, I look for the Broncos to pull away as the game goes on.
Props
Tua Tagovailoa over 0.5 rush yards (-128)
We are just looking for one good scramble of three or more yards (just in case there is a chance of kneel down at the end of the game). Tua is capable, but it’s just a matter of if he does it.
Darren Waller over 9.5 receiving yards (-112)
This will be Wallers first return to action since his retirement in 2024. This total feels way too low, as he could easily get that in two or more receptions. It is just a matter of how much he is used tonight.
JK Dobbins over 64.5 rush yards (-112)
The Bengals defense had given up a lot of yards on the ground in their last few games. Due to that, I am going to take Dobbins over. Let’s see if that trend continues to happen. My only fear is Sean Payton LOVES using multiple running backs.
JK Dobbins anytime touchdown (-118)
Dolphins has scored in every game so far in this season. That puts him on a NBA JAM. This is another bet that we are going to see if the trend continues. 
De’Von Achane anytime touchdown (-120)
When it comes to picking a Dolphins player score a touchdown in this game, Achane just feels like the best choice. He is their most versatile player, and should get good usage in the game. One thing I am considering though to semi hedge is betting Ollie Gordon to score a touchdown, as maybe he is now the goal line back? 
Garret Wilson anytime touchdown (+164)
With Justin Fields back, I expect Garrett Wilson to have a better game tonight. With how much points and yards the Dolphins defense can give up, he is the type of player that could absolutely shred their defense. 
Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day
We are in desperate need of a hit with the Nasty Boy. Tonight’s could have some potential to give us some magic.
I was able to get odds of +817 boosted to +1226 with a 50% boost:
- JK Dobbins over 70+ rush yards (-118)
- Darren Waller over 9.5 receiving yards (-112)
- Tua Tagovailoa over 0.5 rush yards (-128)
- JK Dobbins anytime touchdown (-115)
Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY
Jaden Chandler-Parnell, or “JC” is a Sports & Sports Betting Analyst for Stare Down Sports. You can Follow him on X @Jaden95Chandler and on YouTube
Betting Record
College Football straights record (regular season): 13-14-1
Pickem Record: 45-16-1
(straights) NFL Bets [regular season] 11-12
(Touchdown scorers) NFL Bets [regular season] 9-6
(Player Props) NFL Bets [regular season] 20-16
$10 Nasty Boy Play (College) : 0-5 {down 4u}
$10 Nasty Boy Play (NFL) 0-12 {down 12u}
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