It was not the best weekend for us, but we love adversity around here. I’m hungry to get back to our winning ways, so why not start tonight on Monday Night Football in Week 12 of the NFL?
Here are my plays for the Harbaugh Bowl edition of Monday Night Football Week 12.
Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod for my full breakdowns and analysis. All odds are a mix/the best number from FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM.
Straights
Chargers +3 (-115)
This is truly a really hard game for me to pick. I ended up deciding to go with the home Harbaugh and take the points. No Roquan Smith (Adam Schefter said on the Pat McAfee show he expects Smith to miss the game) could be an issue for the Ravens, but they do get Kyle Hamilton back.
When the Ravens are right, they are almost impossible to beat. However, they have shown some vulnerabilities. I look for the Chargers to keep this close and keep this game within a field goal, maybe potentially even winning it outright.
Props
JK Dobbins over 14.5 receiving yards -110
Dobbins gets the volume (about 2-3 catches a game), it’s just a matter of if he gets the yards or not. With the Ravens being a bit weaker in the pass game defensively, I look for JK to hit this over.
Justice Hill over 20.5 receiving yards -110
If Hill can get three targets or more, he will be able to hit this over based on this seasons history.
Quentin Johnston over 3.5 receptions (-114) and over 50.5 receiving yards (-110)
Between the Ravens not so good pass defense and Ladd McConkey dealing with the shoulder injury (and still playing), I expect Johnston to get four to five targets his way minimum, which should help hit his over.
Anytime touchdown scorers
Derrick Henry -220
JK Dobbins +115
Quentin Johnston +195
Lamar Jackson +210
Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day
We are in a drought and need to get back on the board. Is tonight the night?
I was able to get odds of +835 boosted to +1086 with a 30% boost:
- Will Dissly over 4+ receptions (-230)
- Justice Hill over 25+ receiving yards (+130)
- Derrick Henry (-220)
- JK Dobbins (+115)
Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY
Jaden Chandler-Parnell, or “JC” is a Sports & Sports Betting Analyst for Stare Down Sports. You can Follow him on X @Jaden95Chandler
Season stats
College Football straights Record (regular season): 68-62-1
College Football player props record 11-8
Bowl Season College Football:
Pickem Record: 112-54
NFL bets (straights) [regular season] 56-44-1
NFL Bets (Touchdown scorers) [regular season] 100-105
NFL Bets (Player Props) [regular season] 64-52
Nasty Boy Play (College) : 0-13 {down 195)
Nasty Boy Play (NFL) 4-24 {up 434.60}
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