After a thrilling weekend of games, we turn our eyes to the final game of Week 11. Monday Night Football Week 11 gives us the Dallas Cowboys on the road to take on the Las Vegas Raiders.
Here are my plays for Monday Night Football Week 11.
Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod for my full breakdowns and analysis. All odds are a mix/the best number from FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM.
Straights
Cowboys -3.5 (-102)
This will be the Cowboys first game since the tragic passing of Marshawn Kneeland. Along with that, Quinnen Williams will make his first start with the Cowboys, giving some help to the defense. I think this will be a very emotional game for the Cowboys, and I expect them to come with a different level of energy tonight. Another thing in their favor could be the fact that the Raiders have been turning the ball over at a very high rate the last couple of games. If the defense can get some stops and somehow try to contain Brock Bowers, the Cowboys offense is talented enough to win this ball game by four to seven points. This could end up being a potentially sneaky fun game tonight.
Props
Brock Bowers over 73.5 receiving yards (-112)
Coming off a game where he only had one reception, there is just no way the Raiders can allow this to happen again if they want a chance to win the game. Bowers is a very talented player and probably the best player on their offense. I fully expect the Raiders to get Bowers at least five receptions at the minimum, which should help hit this over.
Jake Ferguson over 35.5 receiving yards (-112)
This number feels just a tad too low for me. I project for Ferguson to finish around 45 to 50 receiving yards, as he is a key part to the offense.
Geno Smith over 8.5 rush yards (-112)
With how bad the Raiders offensive line is, Geno may need to use his legs a couple of times. This is a pretty low number, it’s just a matter of does Geno get a chance at getting enough yards.
Ashton Jeanty anytime touchdown (-145)
With how bad the Cowboys defense has been so far this season, there’s a good chance that either Jeanty or Brock Bowers will be finding the end zone tonight.
For the Cowboys, I like CeeDee Lamb, Jake Ferguson, or Javonte Williams. I can’t fully decide so I’m staying away from the straight wise.
*As a final note, Geno Smith to throw an interception is -160, so I am going to take that if I can get it to drop to -145 or lower. I like the bet, but very much dislike the odds.
Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day
We are going two props and two touchdown scorers.
I was able to get odds of +894 boosted to +1163 with a 30% boost:
- Ashton Jeanty anytime touchdown (-145)
- Jake Ferguson over 30+receiving yards (-178)
- Brock Bowers over 70+ receiving yards (-136)
- CeeDee Lamb anytime touchdown (+110)
Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY!
Jaden Chandler-Parnell, or “JC” is a Sports & Sports Betting Analyst for Stare Down Sports. You can Follow him on X @Jaden95Chandler and on YouTube
Betting Record
College Football straights record (regular season): 27-30-1
Pickem Record: 103-45-1
(straights) NFL Bets [regular season] 33-29
(Touchdown scorers) NFL Bets [regular season] 32-29
(Player Props) NFL Bets [regular season] 65-51
$10 Nasty Boy Play (College) : 0-12 {down 12u}
$10 Nasty Boy Play (NFL) 0-29 {down 29u}
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