As the regular season nears its end, these last couple games are massive for so many teams. It should be a wild ride these last three weeks, as we have CFP hopefuls playing other CFP hopefuls in win or you are out games. Three weeks left to go, and it should be one fun ride. We begin with College Football Week 12.
Here are my plays for Thursday Night Football Week 10.
Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod for my full breakdowns and analysis. All odds are a mix/the best number from FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM.
Straights
USF -9.5 (-125)
This is a massive game for South Florida. After the Memphis lost last week, South Florida all of a sudden is back in the College Football Playoff hunt. While Navy has been decent this year, their defense has shown it is by far not the best in the country. I only really have two concerns when it comes to this game. One of them is will the Navy quarterback Blake Horvath play? The second is how will those Florida boys do coming up to the North where it’s a bit colder?
Overall, I think South Florida’s offense will be able to put up a lot of points on Navy, which would help them be able to win this game by 10+ points. 
Texas Tech -23.5 (-120)
After a massive game against BYU last week, Texas Tech now has another home game This game will be against UCF. If Texas Tech was able to finish drives last week, they truly could’ve blown out BYU. If Texas Tech comes to play in this game, they should be able to win this game by about 30+ points. UCF had a heartbreaker of a loss last week, so I’m curious to see if they’ll be able to bounce back and play tough again this week. This Texas Tech defense is legit, and they have a defensive star in Jacob Rodriguez.
Texas Tech has also won every home game by about 20+ points.
Notre Dame -12.5 (-110)
This is the most important game remaining left on Notre Dames schedule. The next two weeks for Notre Dame are games against Syracuse and against Stanford. If Notre Dame is able to win this game against Pitt, there is a great chance that they will be in the CFP. With how massive of a game this is, I believe that Marcus Freeman will have the boys ready to play, which should allow them to win this game by about 14+ points. While I am super nervous about how well Pitts quarterback has been playing in the last couple of games, I believe the Fighting Irish can make him make mistakes on defense if they force Mason Heintschel to be patient all game long.
Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day
We lost by one leg last week, and it has ate me away all week long. I feel really good about this Saturdays Nasty Boy, and I belive this will get us on the board.
I was able to get odds of +1055 boosted to +1371 with a 30% boost:
- Georgia – Texas first half under 25.5 (-120)
- Tennessee -38.5 (-110)
- New Mexico -13.5 (-125)
- Texas Tech -23.5 (-120)
Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY!
Jaden Chandler-Parnell, or “JC” is a Sports & Sports Betting Analyst for Stare Down Sports. You can Follow him on X @Jaden95Chandler and on YouTube
Betting Record
College Football Week 12 College Football Week 12
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