Week 12 is upon us and we have a few division battles on the slate. Some of these games are huge for implications down the line, and this looks to be a big week. Here are my plays for the Week 12 slate.
Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod and Captain By A Hook for my full breakdowns. All odds are a mix/the best number from FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM.
Steelers moneyline (-128)
This will be the first game the Steelers will play without offensive coordinator Matt Canada. He was fired earlier this week by the team. Due to this, I look for the team to have a bit of a jolt here and put on a show in this first game without him. Usually a firing is a booster for the next game, so I look for the Steelers to take advantage of that here. The Bengals will be without Joe Burrow for the rest of the year, they will have Browning, instead. That makes me like the Steelers even more in the spot.
Colts -2.5 (-110)
The Colts have had a strong showing so far this season offensively. Their game in London was the first game all season where they did not score at least 20+ points. The issue has been on their defense, where the defensive back position has been especially getting exposed this season. Going into this game versus the Buccaneers, I look for the Colts to be able to prevail at home. They’ve proven that they can score, and they’re defense can do just enough to get a few stops to win. The Buccaneers have been shaky so far this season, and I look for that to continue here on the road.
Eagles -3 (-110)
The Bills have struggled against good teams, and the Eagles might be the best NFL. They are coming off a huge win last week against the Kansas City Chiefs. I look for the Eagles to do what they do every game, control the clock, and find a way to win the game. Give me the Eagles to win by more than a field goal at home.
Texans moneyline (+105)
This game against the Jaguars can go a long way for the division. The Jaguars already swept the Colts, and the Texans have won the first game against the Jaguars. Win here and that would give the Texans a season sweep, allowing them to control their own destiny going into the end of the season. This is a monumental game for the season, as the Texans have already lost the Colts, at least once.
The winner of this game will most likely be the one with the best chance to win the division. I look for Houston to get the job done at home, and for the Texana to be able to prevail.
Ravens -3 (-115)
If you look at how these two teams have played all season, it should be pretty easy to pick the Ravens. The Chargers have struggled all season, and Brendan Staley week by week seems closer to getting fired. Meanwhile, the Ravens have been one of the best teams in the AFC. Losing Andrews for the season is going to be a huge loss, but Isaiah likely can potentially step in and fill a big role. I look for the Ravens to be able to dominate the ground and run all over the Los Angeles Chargers.
Monday
Vikings -3 (-110)
The Vikings are closer and closer to getting Justin Jefferson back, and this late string of wins has actually made them close to a playoff spot. A Lions loss on Thanksgiving has made the division that much closer now, and they actually trail by about a game and a half. Coming into this division game, this is a huge chance for the Vikings to make up ground on the Lions.
I look for the Lions to be able to get the job done at home, and for Josh Dobbs to maybe finally have a good second half. The Bears defense has definitely gotten better since they’ve been healthy, so that does scare me a bit. However, I look for Josh Dobbs to be able to pull through and find a way to help the Vikings get a win on Monday Night Football to end Week 12.
Props
Courtland Sutton anytime TD (+210)
Cortland Sutton is on an NBA JAM and he’s a scoring machine this season. He has only not scored in two games all season, and he scored at least five in a row. Cortland Sutton has made me a good amount of money this year scoring touchdowns, so I’m going back to the well once again.
Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day
For Week 12 we look to hit another nasty boy after hitting two in the last week and a half. Black Friday saw me bring home another W (sorry for not sharing I didn’t get the article out in time) so we will see if we can go back to back. It’s four guys to get into the endzone, and I like them all to find it.
For this Week 12 nasty boy got odds of +1321 boosted to +1717 with a 30% boost:
- Mike Evans anytime TD (+170)
- Jonathan Taylor anytime TD (-155)
- Jalen Hurts anytime TD (-155)
- Gus Edwards anytime TD (+110)
Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY
College Football Record: 61-51
Pickem Record: 103-61
NFL bets (straights) 31-28-2
NFL Bets (Player Props) 26-27
Nasty Boy Play (College) 2-10
Nasty Boy Play (NFL) 5-24
Jaden Chandler-Parnell, or “JC” is a Sports & Sports Betting Insider for Stare Down Sports. You can Follow him on X @Jaden95Chandler
Follow Stare Down Sports on X for all of the latest news and updates @StareDownSports
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