NFL Sunday Week 12 gives us a slate with a couple of good games along with some massive spreads. After Thursday Night Football set the tone, will we see any more upsets?
Here are my plays for NFL Sunday Week 12.
Check out the latest episodes of the JCPod for my full breakdowns and analysis. All odds are a mix/the best number from FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM.
Straights
Colts +3.5 (-118)
I like for the Colts to keep this game within a field goal against the Chiefs, potentially even winning this game out right. The Colts have played the Chiefs really well in their recent history and this is a good opportunity for the Colts to get a statement win. The Chiefs losing last week doesn’t have me a bit nervous about betting against them here, but the Colts defense will be the healthiest and strongest it has been all season (besides Deforest Buckner).
No Deforest Buckner has me a bit worried, but the Colts are coming off a bye and have been so explosive on offense this season.
Browns +3.5 (-104)
While the Browns defense does play a lot better at home than they do on the road, I do think Miles Garrett will be able to harass Geno Smith all game long. The Raiders offensive line is really bad, and has been causing them to have issues all season long. While this may be a close game because Sheduer Sanders has not played a full game this year, I think the Browns defense can carry the game enough to keep the Browns within three points.
Steelers money line (+120)
I like for the Steelers to go to Chicago and get a massive road win. Both of these teams rely heavy on turnovers, so this will come down to who can protect the ball better. I think this Steelers pass rush might be able to cause Caleb Williams to have a few mistakes, which I think the Steelers offense will be able to capitalize on. This should be a close game for majority of the game, but I like for the Steelers to be the team to pull out the win.
Patriots -6.5 (-130)
With how bad this Bengals defense is, this Patriots offense could end up having a field day. The Patriots have been playing a lot of tougher defenses lately, so this will be a nice little break from that. I think this Patriots defense will also be able to get enough pressure on Joe Flacco that it will cause the Bengals to struggle offensively. No Ja’Marr Chase will also be a huge loss for the Bengals.
Props
Mack Hollins over 23.5 receiving yards (-114)
While Kayshon Bouttee will be returning for the Patriots, Mack Hollins has been too good lately for him to stay off the field. If we can get three or more receptions out of Hollins, I like for him to hit this over.
Jared Goff 3+ passing touchdowns (+174)
After a horrible performance last week, I’ll look for the Detroit Lions and Goff to bounce back this week. I will not be shocked at all if they put up 30 to 40 points, and I can see Jared Goff throwing for two or three passing touchdowns. The odds for him to throw for two are horrible, so I’m gonna take the risk and the odds of three plus.
Sam Darnold over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-122)
Similar to Goff, I look for Sam Darnold to bounce back this week. The Seahawks had a horrible offensive performance last week, and playing against the Titans gives them a good chance to bounce back and score a lot in this game.
Trey McBride anytime touchdown (-120)
I like for Trey McBride score touchdown in this game. The Jaguars play a lot more weird on the road than they do at home, so that should give the Cardinals a few extra chances to score in this game. 
Davante Adams anytime touchdown (-150)
Davante Adams is the goal line threat that the Rams use every game. We are going to keep taking it until the wheels fall off at this point.
Kareem Hunt anytime touchdown (-115)
With Isaiah Pacheco out, I like for Hunt to find the end zone for the Chiefs. If they get into the goal line situation, there is a really good chance Kareem hunt will be used.
Parnell’s Nasty Boy Parlay Play of the Day
We are going all touchdown scorers.
I was able to get odds of +1197:
- Davante Adams anytime touchdown (-150)
- Trey McBride anytime touchdown (-120)
- Amon-Ra St. Brown anytime touchdown (-130)
- Kenneth Walker anytime touchdown (+140)
Let’s have a DAY! PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY!
Jaden Chandler-Parnell, or “JC” is a Sports & Sports Betting Analyst for Stare Down Sports. You can Follow him on X @Jaden95Chandler and on YouTube
Betting Record
College Football straights record (regular season): 27-30-1
Pickem Record: 113-50-1
(straights) NFL Bets [regular season] 34-29
(Touchdown scorers) NFL Bets [regular season] 34-32
(Player Props) NFL Bets [regular season] 67-55
$10 Nasty Boy Play (College) : 0-12 {down 12u}
$10 Nasty Boy Play (NFL) 0-31 {down 31u}
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